Hi Jon,
the distribution of first differences should look pretty much
bell-shaped. I suggest you double-check your code.
Holger
Jon Minton wrote:
Hi,
My density estimate for the first difference in probability (question
1.3) looks OK, except it has a really tall spike of values around 0.0.
With my background in electronic engineering, I saw this and thought I
should try to pass it through some kind of low-pass filter. However, I?m
guessing this isn?t the answer. (Removing 0s and 1s from the two vectors
of probabilities I took the difference of to get the first difference
vector, and running plotting a density plot of this produced something
with a smaller 0.0 spike, suggesting a better signal:noise ratio, so
conceptually my engineering approach **could** work...)
I?m not sure how to ask questions about this without giving away too
much detail about what I?ve done (which might be mostly correct) and
what my first differences estimate is (which appears reasonable).
I am, apparently, the only person doing this course in the UK. So far I
seem to have been keeping pace on my own. However, it would be good to
have a few people I could work with on the problem set, so I don?t end
up emailing this mailing list so often, and/or get stuck on the kinds of
little problems which are much easier to see with a fresh pair of eyes.
If you think you could offer some advice, let me know.
Best wishes,
Jon Minton
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Holger Lutz Kern
Graduate Student
Department of Government
Cornell University
Institute for Quantitative Social Science
Harvard University
1737 Cambridge Street N350
Cambridge, MA 02138