the title and abstract are ok as a summary of what I take it is your point, but the point
is not so sharp. It looks like a list more than a clear substantive point. There may not
be much u can do since what u write has to represent what u find of course, but sometimes
u can rethink things in a different framework...
Gary
-----Original Message-----
From: Claire Allison Schwartz <cschwart(a)fas.harvard.edu>
Date: Friday, May 5, 2006 2:55 pm
Subject: [gov2001-l] Claire And Janet's Abstract
Here is our abstract. Thanks in advance for any comments.
Claire and Janet
-------------------------------
Why Do Civil Wars Recur?
Living Conditions, Attributes of the Prior War, and Autocracies Matter
Of civil wars that have ended since 1945, roughly one-third have
reignited. Walter (2004) argues that conditions conducive to rebel
recruitment - particularly poor living conditions and lack of access to political
participation - are the critical precursors to renewed civil war. Using rare-events
logit, model specification tests, and a hazard model on a respecified dataset, we
demonstrate that Walter's findings are robust with three key exceptions: (1) living
conditions matter, but less so than the characteristics of the previous war; (2) the
magnitudes of her variables' impact are smaller than she estimated; and (3) when
controlling for per capita GDP, civil war recurrence is less likely in autocratic states.
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