Hi-
It it possible to account for repeated, seasonal (i.e., monthly) spikes in
Amelia? It seems that the polytime or splinetime arguments can capture
moderate seasonal variability, but less adept at major spikes in, for
example, heating use in December and January. So far I've tried: 1)
increasing the order of splinetime to make it more flexible, 2) including
month as a nominal variable, and 3) including the value from the same month
in the previous and next year as additional columns in each row. All of
these help, but only to a minor degree.
Thanks for any ideas or guidance.
Mike
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